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市場分析

Euro Strengthens to 1.0850 Against U.S. Dollar After Softer U.S. Inflation Print

Mellissa · 89.3K 閱讀

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The euro climbed to 1.0850 against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday, as markets responded to a weaker-than-expected U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which tempered expectations of aggressive future rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

The softer inflation data suggested that price pressures in the U.S. economy may be cooling, prompting a broad-based pullback in the dollar and giving the euro room to advance. The CPI reading showed slower growth than forecast, reinforcing the market’s view that the Fed could soon pivot toward a more dovish stance or pause its tightening cycle altogether.

This shift in sentiment fueled demand for the euro, as traders repositioned in anticipation of a narrower interest rate differential between the U.S. and the eurozone. Lower U.S. yields also contributed to the dollar’s retreat, further supporting the single currency.

In contrast, the euro has shown relative resilience amid signs of stabilization in the eurozone economy. Recent data out of Germany and France has pointed to modest improvements in business confidence and industrial activity, although the region still faces headwinds from elevated energy costs and sluggish consumer demand.

Market participants are now closely watching upcoming speeches from Federal Reserve officials and the European Central Bank’s policy outlook for further clues. While the ECB has maintained a hawkish tone in recent months, any shift in language could impact the euro’s momentum in the days ahead.

Technically, the EUR/USD pair’s break above the 1.0800 resistance level is seen as a positive signal by currency analysts. A sustained move beyond 1.0850 could open the door to further gains, particularly if upcoming U.S. data continues to show signs of cooling inflation and weaker economic momentum.

Still, caution remains, with traders mindful of potential geopolitical developments and lingering uncertainty around central bank policy paths. Any unexpected shifts in tone from either side of the Atlantic could quickly alter the pair’s trajectory.

For now, the euro’s push to 1.0850 marks a notable recovery, reflecting broader market recalibrations following a key U.S. data release. As inflation trends evolve and monetary policy expectations adjust, the EUR/USD pair will likely remain sensitive to both macroeconomic signals and central bank guidance.

 

 

 

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