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Ishiba Wraps G7 with US Trade Pact, But Political Future in Doubt

Shigeru Ishiba, one of Japan’s most seasoned political figures, concluded the G7 summit on a mixed note—celebrating a modest trade deal with the United States while facing growing uncertainty over his political standing back home.

The former defense minister, often seen as a potential challenger for Japan’s leadership, played a key role in finalizing an agreement with Washington aimed at expanding agricultural and digital trade cooperation. The deal is being welcomed as a diplomatic success, bolstering Tokyo’s bilateral ties with the US amid rising regional security tensions and global economic instability.

However, Ishiba’s personal political trajectory remains unclear. Despite his prominence on the global stage, he continues to battle low approval ratings within his own Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and faces stiff resistance from the party's dominant factions. Analysts note that while his technocratic expertise and defense credentials are admired abroad, his appeal at home has dwindled in recent years. Investing

G7 Stage Offers Brief Spotlight Amid Fading Popularity

At the G7, Ishiba sought to underscore Japan’s leadership in promoting regional stability and multilateral cooperation. Yet his moment in the spotlight may do little to revive his waning influence in domestic politics. Many within the LDP are already looking ahead to the party's next leadership race, and Ishiba’s name is often absent from the shortlist of frontrunners. Bernama

Sources close to the party suggest that unless Ishiba reinvents his political strategy or secures stronger grassroots support, his role may shift further toward diplomacy or advisory capacities rather than executive leadership.

Outlook: Diplomatic Success May Not Translate Into Political Gains

While the trade deal offers a clear win for Japan’s economic diplomacy, it may not be enough to strengthen Ishiba’s footing in the ever-competitive political landscape. The LDP’s internal dynamics continue to favor younger and more populist figures, leaving seasoned policymakers like Ishiba at a crossroads.The Straits Times

As Japan navigates an increasingly complex geopolitical environment, Ishiba’s future remains a subject of speculation—reflecting the broader tensions between diplomatic acumen and domestic electability in modern politics.

 

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